From: MSN NicknameEagle_wng (Original Message) Sent: 5/28/2008 5:23 AM
Kadyrov´s spring-campaign against the rebels completely fails
21 may 2008
At the end of January and again in February Ramzan Kadyrov made some
sensational statements,promising to “finish off the remaining bandits
(chechen rebels) until the end of the spring season” (end of may).
“I promise you,that my forces (the “Kadyrovtsy”) will bring these last
50-60 drug-addicted bandits to justice until the end of
spring,including their very sick leader Dokka Umarov,who is constantly
running around the mountains,desperately seeking for medical aid”.
This completely stupid statement was not only sensational and far away
from reality,it was also laughable and basis for numerous jokes all
over chechnya.So now, with the end of may in sight,let´s talk about
the results of Kadyrov´s three months-long military spring-campaign
from march to may!
You don´t have to be a rebel-supporter to come to only one
conclusion:The spring-campaign of the Kadyrovtsy completely failed!!!
With the onset of spring in early march,not Kadyrov´s
police-militias,but the rebels themselves became more active.The
rebels used all methods of modern and effective guerilla-warfare:
The undermining and ambushes of Kadyrov´s convoys,vehicles and
patrols,aimed single special operations to kill individuals,sniper
attacks,fire-attacks against bases and checkpoints etc.
However,beside these usual guerilla methods they carried out numerous
village-raids and stepped up their own “control-measures” with
establishing road-checkpoints,especially in the foothill-and mountain
regions.The rebels invaded the villages in the foothills and mountains
numerous times over the past three months,some villages were even
raided several times. While the russian and western media kept almost
complete silence,in the chechen media some of these raids were reported.
For example in late march 70 rebels attacked the village of
Alkhazurovo in the Urus-Martan-district,which they controlled for many
hours.As a result 13 Kadyrovtsy were killed,7 wounded and six more
taken as prisoners.In the first days of April numerous villages were
raided all over the mountains and foothills,from the
Achkoy-Martan-district in the West to the Nozhay-Yurt and
Vedeno-districts in the East.Dozens of Kadyrovtsy surrendered without
a fight and were realesed by the rebels after promising to end their
service for Kadyrov. In late April 500 rebels sieged up to a dozen of
villages in Western Chechnya for a whole night,killing 23 Kadyrovtsy
and capturing 15 more.Furthermore numerous attacks and clashes took
place especially in Southern Chechnya over the past months,resulting
in many losses for Kadyrov´s forces.While the rebels managed to
kill,wound and capture hundreds of Kadyrovtsy in the spring-weeks
(others defected and joined the rebels like in every spring),Kadyrov´s
policemen themselves achieved not a single mentionable victory above
Umarov´s rebels.In all the ordinary small-scale skirmishes over the
past months only a handful of rebels was killed,as they are much more
motivated and more professional in guerilla warfare and
mountain-forest warfare than the Kadyrovtsy.
Kadyrov´s police-bataillions not only suffered losses in the
mountains,in contrast to former years they even failed to destroy
rebel groups in the cities and lowlands of northern-and central
chechnya.Since the beginning of spring in early march,there was not a
single report of a house-storming in cities or villages in the
lowland-regions.This could be connected with the fact,that over the
past months and years the rebels have seriously damaged Kadyrov´s
network of agents in the populated areas.Numerous civilians,who worked
for Kadyrov as agents,were simply shot by the rebels over the past
years,after they were unmasked as agents by the rebel-intelligence,who
has much more own informants than Kadyrov.
Kadyrov´s failing to destroy rebel squads even in the lowlands during
the spring yielded in serious discussions and angry accusations with
the russian generals in Khankhala (the russian main base in
chechnya)over the past days and weeks.While the russian generals blame
only Kadyrov for all the military failures against the rebels,Kadyrov
and his associates like Magomed Khambiev constantly accuse the russian
troops of military incompetence and blame them for not providing
enough support for Kadyrov´s troops.As a result of the spring season
one can say,that Kadyrov and his forces suffered not only many painful
defeats on the ground, the spring also resulted in even deeper
mistrust between the Kremlin and Kadyrov.
PS: Kadyrov and his forces were much more successful on another front!
Over the past weeks they managed to completely annihilate the
bataillons “Vostok” and “Zapad”,controlled by the Yamadayev-clan(power
base in Gudermes) and the Kakiev-Arsanov clan (power base in the
Nadterechny-district).After the destruction of these two militias and
their leaders not a single political-military competitor to Kadyrov
remains in the pro-russian chechen camp,what can be called a huge
victory for “King Ramzan”.
Sascha,Chechnya-Expert,Germany
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/chechnya-sl/message/55047